Bantay Mandaue: Mandaue City Political Survey Results May 16-21, 2015

OVERVIEW

This document provides comprehensive and scientifically deduced quantitative information establishing the opinions and choices of 1,200 respondents in the City of Mandaue. Province of Cebu towards the Political Candidates in various positions for the 2016 National and Local Elections, through a scientific political survey in the 27 barangays covering the entire city.

It was conceptualized for the purpose of knowing the political climate in the area. This type of survey is a design used by many well-known, impartial and effective survey groups and organizations to guide political analysts, strategists and operators in the conduct of their political campaign activities for the benefit of their principals. Information, data and statistics gathered in this survey are vital tools that can help us in 2016 elections.

METHODOLOGY USED

In the implemented scientific political survey we conducted last May 16- 21, 2015 in Mandaue City, Province of Cebu, we used the standard method of administering questions. We used a questionnaire which would allow respondents to mark on it, qualifying it as a Self-Administered Survey. Our Field Staff were also eliciting information from the respondents relative to their choices or non- response, factors affecting their choices and the finality of their choices, thus making it a Research- Administered Survey. Information was gathered and sourced from face-to-face interviews involving respondents who are eligible to vote utilizing a structured questionnaire.

Areas where to select respondents were also selected systematically using a proportional allocation-scheme basing it on the number of registered voters in a barangay. Households were selected using a radial-grid block coverage scheme along major streets in the sample areas. The respondents were randomly selected but qualified and quantified by location, age and gender. The total number of respondents is 1,200. The total number of registered voters of the City of Mandaue in 2013 elections is 187,318 divided by 1,200 equals 156. To get the number of respondents per barangay, we divided the number of voters per barangay to 156, thus respondents per barangay is quantified.

SAMPLING APPROACH EMPLOYED

We have employed a Stratified Random Sampling Approach in quantifying and qualifying our respondents. A Radial-block coverage scheme in every barangays as a point of reference was also employed in choosing respondents. The respondents per barangay were randomly selected in the area to elicit balance information geographically. The data gathered then were tabulated and were subjected to statistical analysis. Descriptive statistics was employed to summarize the population data by describing what was observed in the sample numerically or graphically. Inferential statistics was also used to draw inferences about the population represented. These inferences estimating numerical characteristics of the data (estimation) and describing associations within the data (correlation) were also employed in the process of analyzing the results. The formula utilized in the survey is the standard statistical political survey formula of getting the margin of error which is “one divided by the square-root of the sample size”. The square root of the sample size, which 1,200 is equal to 34.64. And one divided by 34.64 equals 2.89%, thus the margin of error is plus/minus 2.89%.

FOR PRESIDENT